7/31/2023 0 Comments Texans jets score![]() Not only do they need to win to keep their hopes of a decent season alive, but I think they need to win by a large margin to gain some (well, a lot of) confidence. Last week, I said the Saints had to show up or this season was over, and they did that. (Over 47.5.)Įxtra pick / NEW ORLEANS -5.5 over Seattle SCORE PREDICTION: Browns 26, Chargers 23. Still, we like it, and if you want to reach out and take the money line at +115, we aren’t going to stop you. I am just slightly peeved I didn’t bet it right away when it was -3 on Tuesday. In other words, there is no reason why Cleveland shouldn’t be a slight favorite here.Īnd when we see value, we pounce. My first question when I saw the line for this one was: Who in the holy heck are the Chargers to be laying points on the road against a decent team? And don’t let last week’s loss by Cleveland to Atlanta fool you: The Browns are certainly a decent team.Ĭonversely, that’s about where I put the Bolts. I don’t have the intestinal fortitude to actually bet the Texans money line, but I certainly love this spread. Houston has been good against the pass (ninth), and Trevor Lawrence has a three-interception game against them (last September), while completing about 56 percent of his pass attempts. Not one to often ignore trends, I am certainly not going to ignore this one, as this could be one of the upsets of the day. ![]() Then I did a little research and saw that the Texans have not only won eight in a row STRAIGHT UP, but they have covered in six of those, including both games last season. I was all set to take the newest love of the sharps’ lives, the Jacksonville Jaguars, and was even going to take them as a knockout pick. SCORE PREDICTION: Bengals (+3) 31, Ravens 27. Over the course of the past five games between them, the winning team has scored 38 or more in four of them. In the two games these teams played against one another last season, the Bengals won both easily with a combined 120 points being put up on the board. And the Bengals? Their average of allowing just 17.5 points is skewed with opposing quarterbacks such as Mitch Trubisky, Cooper Rush, Joe Flacco and Bridgewater for more than a half. Had this game been played two or three weeks ago, one could have expected the over/under to be more than 50, and rightfully so.Įxcept for the first half against Buffalo last week, the Ravens haven’t really been able to stop anyone thus far. We have talked a lot the first four weeks about how linesmakers seem to skew their totals a bit too high, and there has been value on betting unders (which is why we have been so successful in that department so far), but now it could be going a bit the other way. SCORE PREDICTION: Jets 29 (+3.5), Dolphins 25. It would be easy to think Teddy Bridgewater could struggle in his first game as starter this season, but I think the Dolphins will be able to find ways to get Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle (who is questionable as of Wednesday) involved. Meanwhile, the Jets have given up an average of 25.3 points per game through four weeks. In their two road games so far, Miami has allowed 38 points to Baltimore and 27 last week to Cincinnati. That being said, this total jumped out at me a bit more. When I began typing, one best bet I had was Jets +3.5, as not only does it fit squarely into the Golden Rule of taking a home underdog in a division game, but I think there could be lingering internal team issues following the Tua saga. SCORE PREDICTION: Vikings 23, Bears 17 (+7). SCORE PREDICTION: Packers (-8) 29, Giants 19. That being said, getting them in a teaser means they simply have to win, and against this incredibly limited offense for the Bears, we’ll go that route. ![]() The best combo with the Packers seems to be the Vikings, who we would have liked at -7 had they not had just been coming from London following an emotional finish with the Saints. I don’t quite understand why they are only an eight-point favorite against a Giants team that might not only be a little overrated in power points, but is likely down to their third-string quarterback, Davis Webb, as Daniel Jones (ankle) and Tyrod Taylor (concussion protocol) almost surely will be missing in London. In Week 5, I am looking to put Green Bay in several teaser plays.
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